TheoremComplete

Kalman Filter Theorem

Theorem8.2Kalman filter

For the linear Gaussian system dXt=AXtdt+dWtdX_t = AX_t dt + dW_t, dYt=CXtdt+dVtdY_t = CX_t dt + dV_t, the conditional mean X^t=E[XtFtY]\hat{X}_t = \mathbb{E}[X_t \mid \mathcal{F}_t^Y] satisfies:

dX^t=AX^tdt+ΣtCT(dYtCX^tdt),d\hat{X}_t = A\hat{X}_t dt + \Sigma_t C^T (dY_t - C\hat{X}_t dt),

where Σt\Sigma_t solves the Riccati equation. The filter is linear, recursive, and optimal (minimum MSE).

The Kalman filter is ubiquitous in engineering: GPS, aerospace, robotics, signal processing, econometrics.